Growth in Mexico’s coffee market is set to continue, with the sector valued at USD 4.4 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 5.8 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 5.76%. Expansion is unfolding in a high-cost environment shaped by extreme weather events and tighter global supply, which have materially elevated raw material prices. Retail price increases have outpaced broader inflation, lifting nominal sales while weighing on both retail and foodservice volumes. Declining domestic output and persistent volatility in international markets suggest that elevated cost structures are likely to remain a defining feature, tempering the pace of underlying volume growth.
Despite these headwinds, demand fundamentals remain intact and the market is undergoing structural upgrading. Fresh coffee beans and standard ground formats are emerging as the most dynamic segments, supported by the diffusion of specialty café culture and rising consumer awareness around flavour profiles, origin and brewing techniques. This shift reflects a broader premiumisation trend, with households increasingly willing to trade up from basic instant products toward offerings perceived as more authentic and higher quality. Importantly, premiumisation is not confined to fresh formats; innovation in instant coffee, including freeze-dried technologies and flavour diversification, is repositioning the segment and expanding its appeal.
Climate change will continue to pose supply-side risks, but industry participants are responding through portfolio diversification and innovation. The expansion of cold coffee formats and ready-to-drink propositions is aligning with rising temperatures and evolving consumption occasions, creating incremental demand pockets. At the same time, heightened regulatory attention to health considerations is encouraging reformulation and cleaner-label positioning, further differentiating products in an increasingly competitive landscape.
Distribution dynamics are also shifting. Community-based small retailers remain central to the market, reflecting entrenched high-frequency, low-ticket purchasing patterns. However, discount formats are expanding rapidly, leveraging aggressive pricing strategies and private label development to capture share in a price-sensitive environment. Overall, Mexico’s coffee market is characterised by price-led value growth alongside moderated volumes, with premiumisation, technological innovation, health-oriented reformulation and channel reconfiguration collectively shaping a more complex and differentiated growth trajectory.
This in-depth data report provides reliable, up-to-date insights into the coffee sector in Mexico, with figures most recently refreshed in 2025. It includes historical analysis from 2020 onward, along with forward-looking forecasts through 2030 to support data-informed decision-making.
What’s Inside the Report
Annual market size figures expressed in (Tons/MXN/USD), spanning 2020 to 2030. The dataset includes both historical actuals and forecasts, along with CAGR calculations for historical and projected periods.
Market Segmentation
The Mexico coffee market is structured as follows:
Product type – e.g., coffee capsules and pods, ground coffee, instant coffee (instant coffee mixes, standard instant coffee), whole beans, RTD coffee
Packaging type – e.g., flexible packaging, glass jars, metal containers, paper containers, rigid plastic, others
Distribution channel – e.g., bars and HoReCa, convenience stores, discounters, hypermarkets, small grocery stores, supermarkets, tobacco/liquor/tea shop, others
Macroeconomic & Demographic Indicators
Supporting context includes:
Total population
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Per capita consumption
Consumer spending as a percentage of GDP
These variables enhance understanding of consumption potential and macroeconomic trends affecting the market.
Competitive Landscape: Market Share Analysis
The report features market share data for leading players in the coffee sector in Mexico, offering insights into competitive positioning, brand dominance, and consolidation trends. Key market participants include: Bia Foods Investments, Inc., Cafe El Marino S.A. de C.V., Cafe Tostado de Exportacion SA de CV, Federacion Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia (FNC), Garcomex, S.A de C.V., Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V., Nestle S.A., Sabormex S.A. de C.V., Tostadores y Molinos de Cafe Combate S.A. de C.V., etc.
Market share data is presented for top-performing companies in the overall coffee sector, as well as for individual segments such as coffee, coffee capsules and pods, fresh coffee, ground coffee, instant coffee, instant coffee mixes, standard instant coffee, whole beans and RTD coffee, enabling a granular view of competitive dynamics.
Market share analysis covered in the report:
Mexico coffee market share
Mexico coffee capsules and pods market share
Mexico fresh coffee market share
Mexico ground coffee market share
Mexico instant coffee market share
Mexico instant coffee mixes market share
Mexico standard instant coffee market share
Mexico whole beans market share
Mexico RTD coffee market share
Why Choose This Report?
Designed as a data-rich strategic snapshot, the report delivers timely and reliable intelligence to support decisions across market entry, investment evaluation, supply chain planning, and competitive benchmarking. Whether you’re an investor, manufacturer, distributor, or consultant, this report delivers actionable value.
Request a redacted sample to preview the data structure and presentation quality before purchase.
Deliverables Include
Professionally structured PDF report
Full EXCEL databook with year-by-year figures and multi-dimensional segmentation from 2020 to 2030
Table of Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Market Segmentation
Market Overview
Mexico Coffee Market – Product Type Analysis
Mexico Coffee Market – Packaging Type Analysis
Mexico Coffee Market – Distribution Channel Analysis
Company/Brand Shares Analysis
Bia Foods Investments, Inc.
Cafe El Marino S.A. de C.V.
Cafe Tostado de Exportacion SA de CV
Federacion Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia (FNC)
Garcomex, S.A de C.V.
…
Macroeconomic Data and Forecast
Research Methodology
Disclaimer
FIGURES AND TABLES
Table Mexico Coffee Market Size 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market, Net Growth, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market, Growth Rates, 2020-2030
Table Mexico Coffee Market by Product Type, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Product Type, CAGR Historic and Forecast, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Product Type, 2020-2030
Table Mexico Coffee Market by Packaging Type, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Packaging Type, CAGR Historic and Forecast, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Packaging Type, 2020-2030
Table Mexico Coffee Market by Distribution Channel, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Distribution Channel, CAGR Historic and Forecast, 2020-2030
Chart Mexico Coffee Market by Distribution Channel, 2020-2030
Table Mexico Coffee Market Share (%), by Companies, 2020-2025
Chart Mexico Coffee Market, by Companies, 2025
Table Mexico Coffee Market Share (%), by Brands, 2020-2025
Chart Mexico Coffee Market, by Brands, 2025
Table Mexico – Population (Millions) and Forecast
Table Mexico – Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Forecast
Table Mexico – Gross Domestic Product and Forecast
Table Mexico Coffee Market: Spend as a Proportion of GDP (%)
Table Mexico Coffee Market: Consumption per Capita (Population)
Companies Mentioned
This report profiles the following Mexico Coffee companies:
Bia Foods Investments, Inc.
Cafe El Marino S.A. de C.V.
Cafe Tostado de Exportacion SA de CV
Federacion Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia (FNC)
Garcomex, S.A de C.V.
Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V.
Nestle S.A.
Sabormex S.A. de C.V.
Tostadores y Molinos de Cafe Combate S.A. de C.V.